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The Sunday
paper was always a big deal around the house. Dad would snatch
the business section, mom would grab the arts section, and
the kids would argue over the comics. Even as an adult, I
never bothered with the business section as it seemed boring.
I get my best investment ideas from other sections in the
Sunday paper.
This week
was no exception. While I can't share my paper with you, I've
found one story online so that you can read more about one
idea that I discovered. Hopefully I can show you that the
business section of any newspaper doesn't hold all the clues
to a diversified portfolio.
The tobacco
industry seems to be a risky investment, especially since
many towns have banned smoking in public and many people have
tried (some successfully, others not so successfully) to quit
smoking. I mean, what good is tobacco, other than to manufacture
cigarettes, chewing tobacco, cigars, and other products that
induce cancer, emphysema and heart disease?
Yet, this
Sunday's paper revealed that an international team of scientists
is working to develop a tobacco-based
vaccine to prevent a virus that causes most cervical
cancers. The treatment would be similar to one that's already
on the market, but the big difference is cost. The tobacco-based
vaccine still in the works would cost an estimated $3 for
three doses, compared with $360 for three doses of the prevalent
vaccine.
The low
cost would make this vaccine available to women in poor countries,
or to the poor in developed countries. The first phase of
human clinical trials could start by the end of 2008 in the
United States, with more tests planned for countries like
India, where poverty, lack of screening, and spotty access
to health care leads to late diagnosis and early death.
Look for
this vaccine to go through trials, FDA approval, and processing
before the first batch is available to the general public.
In the meantime, if you type "uses for tobacco" into a search
engine, you might discover that very low doses of nicotine
can have dramatic effects in controlling
the symptoms of Tourette's syndrome, a rare neurological
disorder characterized by physical tics and uncontrollable
vocalizations which are often filled with obscenities.
There
is now also some new data that indicates that nicotine can
normalize some of the psychophysiological deficits seen in
patients with schizophrenia. One doctor stated,
""We did not set out to study nicotine, we set out to study
schizophrenia. But anyone who spends anytime with schizophrenics
soon realizes that they smoke a great deal. Indeed, a much
higher percentage of schizophrenics, both male and female,
are heavy smokers than in the general population, and they
smoke the higher tar brands." This heavy smoking led to an
investigation on how nicotine affects the nervous system.
In other
studies at the University of Maryland in College Park, a team
of researchers is focusing on the plant's good side by testing
the plant for medicine, cosmetics, and energy purposes. They've
learned that at least two proteins exist in tobacco
plants, and that both contain all 21 amino acids essential
for human health. Because our bodies can't synthesize these
amino acids, we get them from our food. In the future, however,
tobacco proteins might provide an inexpensive, easy nutritional
additive to our diets along with our regular vitamins.
The problem
with these stories is that not one reporter mentions where
the money has come from to support these projects. If you
take into account that the studies at the University of Maryland
have been ongoing for the past three years with little to
no results, you might imagine that some largesse is involved
with this research. The other stories also provide tentative
progress, except for the migraine headache relief.
I would
guess - and this is a very big guess - that tobacco companies
and possibly the government are funding some projects. It
wouldn't do to have tobacco farmers out of business, although
Congressional buyout bills in places like North Carolina have
forced some tobacco farmers to try
new farming methods and crops. Instead, it would behoove
many tobacco companies to try to find new products that could
be gleaned from the "evil weed."
But there's
a lot to learn about the tobacco industry before investing,
and much of what you might want to learn concerns the varieties
of tobacco and the various legislations that many tobacco
growers face. This is a transition period for this crop, and
it might be the time to learn as much as possible so that
you're ready to invest in new life-saving and life-enhancing
products that may hit the market within the next five years.
Accordingly,
don't gamble on the notion that traditional tobacco companies
will hold controlling interests in medical products produced
from tobacco. My suggestion is to keep an eye on news coming
from concerns that are located in the tobacco belt (from Maryland
south to Georgia and from the Piedmont area east of the Smoky
Mountains west to mid-America). News like this
story from Virginia can help you to keep track of
private businesses that may be open to buyouts or takeovers
from major companies in the future.
This was
just one story out of five that I discovered this past Sunday
that sparked my curiosity about future investment possibilities.
This particular tobacco story was on page one, not hidden
away in some corner of the business section. Even so, I might
have missed the investment implications if I hadn't been thinking
about diversification. While I would never invest in the tobacco
industry as it stands today, tomorrow's possibilities seem
interesting...
Until
Next Week,
Linda Goin
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