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At the
turn of the 20th Century, most folks had about ten years to
enjoy life. That decade fell between the day that a person
was born and age ten. From then on, it was work 'til you die,
literally. The age expectancy was 62.2 years, so a person
really didn't live long after he stopped working. Retirement,
as we know it today, didn't exist until within the past fifty
years as life expectancies increased. Today, if you plan to
retire at 55 and if you actually to live to 90, you might
be retired longer than you worked.
So, despite
all the flack that you've heard about Social Security over
the past couple years, the simple problem with this program
is that it can't support an American for more time than that
American spent working. It's that simple. How do you plan
to support yourself for those last 35 years? Additionally,
when do you begin to plan for those Golden Years and where
do you put those savings?
I refused
to invest in my future when I was younger, because I had too
much fun spending all the money that I made. Then Cora was
born, and that event began to soak up most of my discretionary
funds. Now that I have some money to put aside, the total
amount that I currently have saved represents barely enough
to cover one years' worth of expenses. My plan is to work
'til I die, but I intend to cajole my daughter into saving
for her retirement now.
Yes, my
daughter's just a teen, but the compounding of returns over
a 45-year period can be staggering when compared to 35 years,
especially in a tax-deferred account. If Cora begins to invest
in a tax-deferred account now, at age 17, and if she invests
$2000 per year after paying taxes and earns 10 percent per
year, she'll have $1,437,810 in that account by the time she's
62. Taxes do make a difference. If Cora pays a combined 30
percent state and federal tax rate on the earnings from those
investments, by the time she's 62 she'll have only $571,491
for her retirement.
I need
to make you aware that the securities markets are subject
to the risks of fluctuating prices and the uncertainty of
rates of return and yields inherent in investing and past
performance is no guarantee of future results.
I'll add
some years to my daughter to show the difference a decade
can make. If Cora begins to save at age 27 instead of at 17,
and if she uses the same savings plan outlined above, she'll
only have $542,049 at age 62 in that tax-deferred account,
and $276,474 in a non tax-deferred investment plan.
Now that
you've soaked in all that information, I'm going to backtrack
and tell you that sometimes a tax-deferred account like a
401(k) doesn't always represent the best way to go when you
save for your retirement. You will, after all, pay taxes on
those savings when you begin withdraw those funds just as
you would for any ordinary income. Tax rates will be higher
for you when you retire with a million bucks than they are
now as you struggle to make ends meet, so the 401(k) represents
a real problem in the end.
Additionally,
the typical 401(k), according to the Employee
Benefit Research Institute and the Investment
Company Institute, has 67% in stocks and 33% in bonds,
cash and other income securities. Since income from taxable
bonds is taxed up to a 35 percent rate, it makes sense to
put bonds into a tax-deferred vehicle like the 401(k). But
it doesn't make sense to put stocks into a tax-deferred account
when you pay a maximum of 15% in a taxable account when you
realize a capital gain and the same for most dividends on
long-term investments. When you place those long-term
holdings into a 401K, you can double that 15% tax rate upon
retirement.
I cannot
explain how to currently allocate (or to begin to reallocate)
your retirement funds better than Jason Zweig, a writer who
focused on a
solution for this problem in an article that he wrote
for CNN in January 2005:
"Start
by putting all your money (taxable or retirement) into a single
mental pie. Say you opt for a basic asset allocation of 60%
stocks, 40% bonds. The best way to do that is to bulk up your
401(k) with bonds until they make up 40% of your total financial
assets. Only after you reach that point should you add stocks
to your 401(k). If, for instance, you have $50,000 in your
401(k) and $50,000 in taxable accounts, you'll need to put
$40,000 in bonds to reach the 60-40 mix. If that all goes
into the 401(k), you'll have 80% of that account in bonds.
And 100% of your taxable account will be in stocks. This strategy
should raise your after-tax return, unless tax laws change
in totally unprecedented ways."
Then,
from my point-of-view, after you've spent so much in bonds
to rebalance that 401(k), think about investing in a tax-managed
Index Fund outside the 401(k). If you reach middle age and
discover that, like me, you want to or need to work 'til you
die, then you may not need the money that you placed into
that Index Fund. Unlike a 401(k), you aren't forced to withdraw
that money; so you don't need to pay taxes on it, ever, as
long as you don't sell it. And, like Zweig mentioned, unless
tax laws change in unprecedented ways over the next few decades,
withdrawals from that Index Fund income will be taxed at a
much lower rate than funds drawn from a 401(k).
The key
to a healthy retirement plan is to defer taxes and to pay
as few taxes as possible when you do need to tally up with
Uncle Sam. Tax laws will change over the next few decades.
I can rest my laurels on that one. Your job then, should you
choose to save wisely, is to keep one eye on tax changes and
reallocate your savings to meet those challenges as the years
roll by.
Until
Next Week,
Linda Goin
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