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It's still
summer, which means you can still do some summer reading at
the beach or wherever your muse takes you for vacation. While
fiction is great, this summer I found a few books about the
stock market to whittle away my time. Some of these books
seem like fiction, because there's still much I don't understand.
However, one book - "Trading
Online, a Step-by-Step guide to Cyberprofits" by Alpesh
B. Patel - piqued my interest. This book is very easy to comprehend,
and Patel includes a lot of helpful advice about online trading.
Additionally, Patel approaches analysis in chapter ten with
a very down-to-earth approach.
Although
we might not think of ourselves as analysts, when we minimize
our stock selections for our portfolio, we analyze various
aspects of these equities during the process. Last week, Cora
and I gave you plenty of ideas on how to choose stocks and
how to begin to narrow your choices. This week, we'll look
at what Patel says about analyzing our selections.
First,
we need to understand that there is a difference between fundamental
and technical analysis. Technical analysts use a variety of
different charts, formulas, and what they believe are predictable
behaviors in response to these tools to choose their stocks
and to time their purchases and sales. Most beginning investors
are not technical analysts, because it takes many months and
years to learn these skills. Beginning investors can start
out with the fundamental analyst pros, investors who often
use one or more of the following methods to choose equities
and regulate their portfolios:
- Filtering
or Screening: fundamental analysts might use an online
filter to sort through a database of stocks to display the
names of equities that contain certain characteristics.
Some prominent choices are those stocks that contain a certain
price to earning ratio (see last week's article), or those
equities that have a low price or high volume. When online
trading began a few years ago, you could find free filters
everywhere online. Now, most of them cost money and it's
up to you to decide whether you want to invest in the use
of a filter or not. One example is Stockworm.
This company allows two-week free use so you can examine
how these programs work before you buy into the software.
- Newsletters
and Newsgroups: Fundamental analysts might rely on newsletters
or newsgroups to read information about a certain stock.
Active participation is up to you, but this might be a great
place to ask questions about stocks. Take it from me, if
you're a newbie and you ask questions, every "expert" in
the world seems to come out of the woodwork to offer advice.
Once again, it's up to you to use this advice. I would advise
you not to use your real name on these groups. A user id
that identifies you yet doesn't reveal your identity is
much safer. You can also subscribe to online newsletters
for information. I discovered that many sites often pass
your email address on to other companies, and before you
know it you might have more information than you need. Be
selective about your choices, and keep track of where you
signed up so that you can keep track of your choices.
- Analysts
Reports: We covered this last week, and you might remember
that you can find analysts' ratings at BUYandHOLD. However,
analyst reports are a bit different, because they may explain
why they rated a certain stock a certain way. Upgrades and
downgrades are important to many fundamental investors for
short- and long-term influences on stock movements. One
online site that contains these reports is at Reuters.
The front page of this site is similar to a stock filter,
as they report risk alerts, top movers, and hot lists. Their
reports, however, are not free. If you type in your company
or its ticker symbol, you'll find a page listing reports
for anywhere from $20 and up. Another easy place to find
out for free whether your stock has been upgraded or downgraded
by analysts is at Yahoo!
Finance. If you type in your company or its ticker
symbol and then go to "analyst opinion" in the menu on the
left, you'll see the analyst ratings AND whether this stock
was upgraded or downgraded from the previous analysis. If
you want a full report, they aren't free, either. It's up
to you to decide whether you want to invest in a report
for your investments.
- Data:
Fundamental analysts LOVE data. This data can come from
everything and anything, including SEC filings, annual reports,
fortune cookies, and horoscopes. SEC (Securities and Exchange
Commission) filings are comprised of information the company
is required by law to send to the SEC, and these reports
reflect changes within a specific company. You can find
your company's most recent SEC filings when you type in
the company name or ticker symbol in BUYandHOLD's home page.
This will take you to the company profile page, where you
can use the drop-down menu in the upper left to surf to
SEC filings. You can find fortune cookies and horoscopes
just about anywhere, so I'll leave that unpredictable hunting
up to you.
- News:
Fundamental analysts often rely on news for their information.
We already discussed the importance of news in the past
few articles, and you can find news on your equities at
BUYandHOLD when you go to your company profile page.
Patel
adds a few more ideas about how to choose stocks, including
a complete list of positive indicators for any security. I
found this list useful, as it works like an off-line stock
filter. If you and your children are still haggling over a
handful of stocks, this list can help you narrow your choices
down even further.
What happens
once you finally choose your stocks? Do you just sit there
and let them do their own thing? The answer is no; but, with
school looming around the corner, how do we keep our perspective
as we begin to focus on lessons other than those provided
by stock market gurus? Next week, Cora and I will share some
tips, and I'm happy to say that these same techniques are
used by many other investors.
Until
Then,
Linda Goin
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