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I have
a big mouth, and what comes out of this mouth often gets me
in trouble. This time I managed to drag my daughter into the
fray, but she emerged unscathed. In fact, she gained some
notoriety as a stock market pro with her class, with the added
bonus of earning geek status (geek is *in* at my daughter's
school). My problems began with my daughter's history teacher,
a person who tried to teach the class how to invest. Investments
in history? Of course! Investments are part of our history,
and at least someone is willing to teach the stock market
at my daughter's school. My concern wasn't with his efforts
- it was with the methodology.
The instructor
gave the class a handout with about thirty companies listed
on the sheet. The class also received an imaginary $10,000
each. The students were allowed to pick two companies for
investments. They could buy shares sporadically or in a lump
sum, but they could not sell until the end of the project.
The timeframe for the project was two weeks. The instructor
prefaced the assignment with the comment that "this is not
the way to do it, but this is how we are going to do it."
Of course, this was paraphrased by my daughter, but I later
found that she was spot on with the comment.
If you
are investment-savvy, then you already see the problems. If
not, let's walk through this assignment to discover the horrors:
1. The
thirty companies on the sheet were all what is called "blue-chip"
stocks. In other words, they were all fairly low-risk, and
low-risk stocks usually do not grow as quickly as higher-risk
stocks. The blue-chip companies are mostly large, multi-dimensional
organizations (conglomerates is one word for this), that often
produce a wide variety of products or services. They are known
for their national and/or international status. These stocks
are mainly stable, and they are a great base for a long-term
hold portfolio. However, this list left no room for diversity
into some high-risk investments for growth.
2. How
many people do you know that could drop $10,000 into the stock
market today? Of course, there are quite a few out there,
but I personally don't know any in my daughter's class. We're
fairly middle-middle class (or lower, depending on which chart
we base this measurement on), and our investments are done
on a monthly basis from a limited budget. Additionally, nothing
was mentioned about this sort of investment into what is called
a "drip" portfolio (see "What
kind of BUYandHOLD Investor are you?" for various investment
options at BUYandHOLD).
3. Only
two choices from the list were allowed. This is trouble, especially
for a diversified portfolio. We've already touched briefly
on this issue with blue-chip stock limitations, but we didn't
discuss the parameters of sectors. A wide variety of choices
was available, but with only two choices, this variety is
tough. Four choices in four separate sectors is a better choice,
especially with a $10,000 windfall.
4. The
two-week timeframe is a problem. This project is best to begin
at the beginning of the quarter, semester, or even at the
beginning of the school year, if at all possible. This way
the students learn to ride through the ups and downs and experience
the benefits of a longer-term buy-and-hold mentality. Picture
the poor kid who makes a killing on his or her two choices
in two weeks. This is a day-trader in the making, in my opinion.
This is the birth of a stock-market junkie that lucked out
the first time with fake cash, and who cannot wait to do the
same thing again with real cash when they come of age. Of
course, I'm exaggerating, but - it could happen. This experience
would make a great storyline for a Stephen King novel?
Unfortunately,
I live quite a ways from my daughter's school; otherwise I
would be very obnoxious about this method of stock market
investing. Instead, the word went through my daughter to her
teacher, who agreed that this project would work better with
a wider variety of stocks over a longer period of time. Whether
this change will happen in the future is unknown, but at least
Cora's class will learn about the problems with this current
project.
Additionally,
Cora made out quite well in spite of the difficulties. She
chose two companies based on information she learned through
various activities:
1. She
chose one company known for theme parks and entertainment.
She chose this company because of two reasons: First, because
the company is producing three new films that will hit the
screens this year; secondly, she chose this equity because
of the timeframe. Since it was mid-April to the first of May,
she felt the stock would rise on anticipation of future summer
activities. She was spot on.
2. The
second company was a self-service auto supply franchise. She
chose this company because of a show she saw on TV where they
advertised and used these products. After she helped with
research for last week's article, she also realized that road
traffic was on the rise and that most of this traffic was
related to vacation and family travel. She presumed that many
of these family travelers would spend money on their vehicles
before vacation (especially if they had their tax returns
in pocket). Once again, she did well.
Of course,
I had to deal with her questions again - and one question
arose specifically from the project's timeframe. "If I made
this much in two weeks, why would I need to keep my money
in the stock?" Ah, my little sweet pea, let's pick two more
stocks (with a little more risk for growth), and watch all
four stocks for a year. Then, you can answer the question
for yourself...
Until
Next Week,
Linda Goin
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