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If any
of you know about the art and science of Tao, then you might
know about the vital life energy. This energy is the definition
of chi. Chi energy is present at the birth of a person, idea,
project, etc., and represents the link between the beginnings
of plans and our loftiest intentions or goals for these plans.
That's
basically how the service industry works. It's the link between
goods and lofty intentions. When it comes to the commercial
market, the goods are varied and the intention is centered
on profits.
We mentioned
last week how several food industries marketed themselves
as services. We also find services in just about every other
sector. These service people/businesses/industries are involved
in distribution of goods as sales or rentals. Some services
include simple transactions, and others are highly involved
in political maneuverings. Some are involved with transferal
of information, like Internet Services. Others are concerned
with moving people. The latter includes moving them into jobs,
in and out of the country, and around lawsuits.
If we
take a look at the top ten service sector equities at BUYandHOLD,
we'll find a wide variety of industry bedfellows; however,
they all have the basic goal of stimulating the marketplace.
The government knows this bit of basic information, and likes
to share projections and categories with us. Once again, we
go back to the North American Industry Classification System
(NAICS), but we'll take a focused view through the U.S. Census
Bureau.
The
Census Bureau 2001 Annual Survey breaks the service sector
down in this report. We can view various classifications,
survey results, and economic projections for each category.
Be aware you're perusing information based on economics from
a bygone era. Since this report, we've had numerous problems
that could radically alter some financial data.
However,
this report is a fantastic base for research into the service
sector. There's no mention of specific companies, so we can
study the categories to gain insight into this sector's components.
We can compare figures in the economic census and we might
find subcategories that will tweak our own chi.
Before
you look at the Service Annual Survey at the top of the page,
scroll down to the 1997 Economic Census. Here, you can browse
categories for diversification ideas. If you click on one
of the categories, it will take you to a list of service subsectors.
If you click on a subsector, it gives you an explanation of
that particular industry's focus.
Cora and
I realized many service listings didn't contain possibilities
for investments. There were other categories that gave us
more room to maneuver in our research. Some topics were just
great knowledge bytes for conversations with your children.
For instance:
Cora and I saw one category under the 812 NAICS code for Personal
and Laundry Services labeled "diaper service." Now, this particular
service is one of the smallest in this section of the service
sector. It's even smaller than dating services. This category
sparked a discussion on the future of disposable diapers,
and a possible trend back to cloth diapers.
The conversation
included the information we already gathered about extraction
industries and the manufacturing of non-durable goods. Disposable
diapers use plastic, which is a petroleum product. As far
as we know, they're not reusable or recyclable, so they're
waste products (another service sector potential). If petroleum
becomes even more expensive due to scarce resources, will
women/families be willing to sacrifice to buy plastic diapers,
or will they pay for the services to clean cloth diapers?
We decided it would be a fun project to watch this particular
sub-sub sector of the service industry to see how things fare
over the next couple years.
One advantage
we have concerning the service industry is that each business
wants to advertise their success stories. This is very valuable
information, as service industry businesses like to list their
clients. Through these clients we can tell if the service
is solid, about to hit a brick wall, or is too specialized
or scattered for our tastes.
If you
find a company with a focus on just one particular good or
service, be careful. The idea of diversification doesn't just
apply to our portfolios - it also applies to businesses in
the service industry. Specialization is fine, as long as the
service offered isn't adversely affected by client behaviors,
new innovations, or changes in economy. On the other hand,
be aware that many service industries are encapsulated within
conglomerates holding products. Sometimes these particular
service industries are focused only on moving the conglomerate's
goods.
If and
when you get to the estimated revenue section of the census
site, please remember these figures are based on a survey
taken two years ago, and were adjusted on information in an
economic census taken almost six years ago. However, this
information is useful if we use it to compare current industry
figures. Once again, take a look at what BUYandHOLD has to
offer in this sector based on your findings. When a company
piques your interest, follow the link to their current financial
information. The comparisons in the census survey and real-time
figures will give you an idea as to how the company is weathering
current economic conditions.
The laws
of physics play a part in the service sector. Basically, when
an object is poised to move, it's in a state of potential
energy. When the object begins to move, its energy changes
from potential to kinetic energy. What we want in the service
industry sector are equities in companies who know how to
take potential energy and change it to something that moves
- hopefully in an upward fiscal direction. This movement of
energy is the ultimate in commercial chi.
Until
next week,
Linda Goin
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