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Let's
say we met a friend at the mall this past weekend to explore
the racks for seasonal sales. Afterward, we saluted each other
over a martini and a bit of broccoli quiche. Then we went
home, took a shower, brushed our teeth, downed our prescription
medicine, and cuddled up under that flannel blanket and quilt
we bought last year at an online store. As we relaxed, we
read a book with pages lit by a 75-watt soft light bulb.
That day
we surrounded ourselves with - and used - non-durable consumer
goods. The items in this sector could be described as those
items we purchase with limited lifespans. This includes clothing,
shoes, other textiles, pharmaceuticals and chemicals, food,
beverages, reading material, and tobacco products. Once again
we'll experience an overlap of items among various sectors.
Pharmaceuticals are one example, as they can also be listed
in the medical and health care sector.
The chemicals
were a mystery until I cleaned my kitchen the other day. I
then realized the chemicals listed in this sector would be
those used in household cleaning. Just look under your sink
for your preferred household chemical solutions and their
manufacturers.
Foods
and beverages also overlap into their own food and beverage
sector. What we need to do in the case of overlapping products
is look at how the actual company lists themselves in market
sectors. This is for portfolio diversification purposes. If
we have a penchant for Yummy Donuts, we might notice that
Yummy is listed in the food and beverage sector. For diversification
purposes, we might avoid other food products in other sectors.
Non-durable
consumer goods might seem confusing on the front end. Many
companies producing non-durable consumer goods could be widely
diversified conglomerates. The company that sells our favorite
Yummy donuts might also produce tobacco products and/or alcohol.
If we have a problem with supporting any of these products
(including the donuts), then we may have to forgo supporting
that company in our portfolio.
We can't
tackle non-durable consumer goods without recognizing sluggish
retail sales during this past holiday season. This brings
us to the larger picture, where economics and politics play
a part in how this sector responds. When jobs are threatened
or lost, people don't run out to purchase goods they can live
without. However, if we think about what we can't live without,
then we have clues to how to invest in non-durables.
Every
day most people brush their teeth, wash their hands with soap,
and take showers with shampoo. Not everyone conditions their
hair, and I know some men that wash their hair with soap.
Go figure. We also use dishwashing detergent, but many people
don't have dishwashers. We all have to eat to survive, but
not everyone eats caviar. Everyone also needs water, but not
everyone drinks the bottled variety.
If you're
following me, then we understand the easiest way to invest
in non-durable consumer goods is to focus on absolute necessities
for a majority of consumers in any market area. Beyond this,
the next focus would be non-durables with a large market reach.
This is tricky, as we have to guess how many folks are willing
to forgo certain items to have other items they consider necessities.
For example, some people would never drink water out of their
faucets, even if the faucet has a water filter. Of course,
these same people may experience a loss in income, forcing
them to change their habits. If forced into a choice, would
they purchase a water filter and fill up used water bottles,
or would they sacrifice other items to keep themselves stocked
in bottled water?
Many Americans
don't like going without 'perks'. We often make sacrifices
in our budgets so we can own the feeling of being pampered
by material goods. This behavior includes wearing that new
pair of shoes at 50% off, sipping that cup of latte with friends,
and - my favorite pick-me-up - chocolates, preferably in private.
These little non-durables are all purchased with "discretionary
income." This income is usually privy to employed individuals,
people who can cut from another area of their budget for impulse
items. But our need for material goods goes deep, and each
individual has their own material "feel good" item, no matter
the cost.
Companies
rely on this consumer mentality, and they understand our almost
unconscious desire for impulse purchases. The next time we
stand in line at the store, take a look at the products on
racks next to the register. Make notes on the companies that
manufacture these items. Ask the store manager about his reasoning
for these item placements. Are they slow-moving items that
need special attention, or do suppliers pay extra for special
placement? If we're considerate of the manager's time, they
might expound on their sales strategies, providing us with
further insight into retail management of non-durable goods.
If we
understand how business operates, we know the bottom line
in non-durable goods - or any other item - depends on expenditures.
This need to keep operating costs low often spurs a company
to expand into their own manufacturing processes. Look for
companies manufacturing or packaging their own goods, and
who keep borrowing at a minimum in these expansion ventures.
The other
clue to watching companies in this sector is in acquisitions.
If our favorite company is gobbling up other businesses like
pac-man, find out why. Perhaps their acquisitions mean a lower
manufacturing cost or a means to higher sales volume. If our
company sells a branch or a firm under its control, check
the news and financials to see if the sale is conducive to
the bottom line. When companies buy and sell subsidiaries
like there's no tomorrow, watch out for equally volatile equities.
Many investors react to each purchase and sale with their
own portfolio strategies.
Once we
begin to dig under our sinks and into our closets and cabinets,
we'll get an idea of the companies we support with our money
on a short-term basis. Once we have our list, study them for
possible long-term investments.
Next week
we'll look at other perks we give ourselves through entertainment.
Yes, this might mean jelly donuts; but it also includes movies,
amusement parks, and any other means we might use to avoid
the news.
Until
then,
Linda Goin
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