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Cora lost
some interest when we tackled the IMF (International Monetary
Fund). Admittedly, this organization seems less flashy and
controversial than the World Bank. Don't let the bland exterior
of their website
fool you like it did us - this organization is more powerful
and complicated than we imagined. Cora's interest picked up
when she discovered we would talk gold and possible international
intrigue (you do what you can to keep their interest, even
if it involves puns).
Each member
of the World Bank must first be a member of the IMF. To join
the IMF, each member state, originally, was assigned a quota
based on its gold and dollar reserves (based on U.S. currency),
its average imports, the variability of its exports and their
ratio to the national income. Initially, each member country
paid 25% of its quota and pledged the balance in its own currency,
if the balance is ever called for. This quota is the country's
contribution to the loaning resources of the IMF, or - more
simply - IMF's capital.
A country's
quota, in the past and today, also determines its voting strength
in the IMF. In turn, a country's quota also determines the
total credits it is permitted to draw. This 'quota deal' led
to a good number of problems in payback when a country fell
short of monetary goals. The IMF was very strict about lending
money, and many countries couldn't meet demands to borrow
money.
In the
past, these quotas and the implications drawn from a country's
number of quotas were sources of true discontent between IMF
and its critics. The burdens of meeting IMF goals often fall
on the urban poor, because middle-income Third World countries
could turn to international private banks to avoid a foreign-exchange
crisis. The poorest countries, however, didn't have this luxury.
The IMF, for these poorest countries, was often the only place
to borrow money. When these countries couldn't meet the IMF
demands, their monetary units fell in value and social unrest
occurred.
In the
late 1970s and early 1980s, the IMF began to understand their
critics, and they took a look at how their policies helped
undermine these governments. Although they made some measurable
changes, today's critics of the IMF feel even more could be
done. In fact, some critics wish the IMF would just go away,
because they believe IMF objectives are inappropriate for
many countries.
Today,
the IMF fulfills several objectives. The first goal is to
provide loans to countries so they can restore conditions
for sustainable economic growth. These loans are - unlike
World Bank loans - not meant for projects. Instead, these
loans help maintain international reserves, stabilize currencies,
and help to continue to pay for imports without the imposition
of trade restrictions or capital controls.
The next
objective for the IMF is called "surveillance." No, they don't
employ spies. In fact, this form of communication has become
increasingly more open since 2001. Since the beginning of
the IMF, they were mandated to watch the exchange rate policies
of its members to ensure effective operation of the international
monetary system. In 1977, the IMF was required to complete
a comprehensive analysis of the general economic situation
and policy strategy of each member country. The ultimate goal
of this 'surveillance' is to help member countries achieve
financial stability and sustainable economic growth.
The IMF
claims these surveillance objectives remain the same as they
were 25 years ago, but the framework has changed. The basic
change now is that discussions held between IMF and member
countries concerning specific financial structures are made
more available to the general public. Whether or not this
transparency is crucial is unknown, as the practice is fairly
new.
The third
objective for the IMF is through technical assistance. This
doesn't mean the IMF supplies computers to schools. This means
the IMF provides structure for a country's fiscal and monetary
policy through statistical research and lending patterns.
The IMF states the demand for their assistance far outweighs
their ability to help, so they focus on crisis prevention,
debt relief, and poverty reduction. These three topics would
appear to be the most important, as help in these areas helps
reduce the chance for social unrest.
We might
wonder why the IMF is so concerned with politics as well as
money. One reason is the logic that politics and money are
tied together in today's global economies. Another reason
is the fear of a "domino effect." If you set up a line of
dominos for your kids, and ask them to push the first one,
they'll see what you mean by this analogy. These days, when
one country develops a severe case of monetary crisis, the
effect can quickly spread to other countries. The reason this
happens even more so today is because our countries are increasingly
tied to each other through foreign exports and imports (refer
to previous three articles on Keynesian Economics and export
demand).
In 1970,
member countries began payment for IMF memberships with SDRs
(Special Drawing Rights). The capital contribution was still
25%, and was still based on a country's resources. The difference
with SDRs is the capital is no longer based on U.S. dollars
and gold standards, because gold tends to fluctuate with production
and value, and the U.S. dollar benefited more than other monetary
units with the original membership plan. The original SDR
was based on several currencies: the dollar, mark, yen, franc,
and pound. Now, the SDRs are based on the euro, dollar, yen,
and pound. Notice the SDRs are built from the currencies of
the leading countries in the World Bank (see last week's article).
The last
distribution of SDRs was in 1981. However, the addition of
new IMF members without SDR allocations brings the prospect
of an additional distribution of these bits of what is known
as "paper gold." The decision for this allocation will be
made after all members agree to distribute SDRs in an effort
to equalize each country's allocation of quotas.
You don't
need to pull out the Monopoly money to help your kids understand
asset allocation. Next week, we'll uncover the mysteries of
currency exchange and the global importance of the American
dollar. Then, we might understand why a drop in the dollar
means more than a drop in the bucket.
Until
then,
Linda Goin
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