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Candlestick
charts contain some unusual terminology, but it seems easier
to remember the terms because they are so odd. Cora and I
both have our favorites. For us, shaven heads and three black
crows stand out like sore thumbs (no -'sore thumbs' aren't
part of the lingo). We'll use some of the names this week
as we begin to understand what they mean in the overall scheme.
If you get lost with some of the terminology, just refer to
last week's article.
Most technical
analysts look for reversals in chart patterns. A reversal
may not mean the market will do the opposite of current past
behavior. It may mean the market will stop its current behavior
and do something else. If a certain equity is heading south,
it may stop its downfall, but it could just level out or jerk
around for a while before it goes up or down again.
There
are some powerful reversal indicators in candlestick charts
that are easy to spot. One body we didn't mention last week
was the Marubozu. A Marubozu is a long body with no
shadow. If you see a line of black Marubozus, you're probably
seeing them in a graceful downward dive. If the Marubozus
are white, you'll see them bouncing up from the bottom. Black
is bearish, white is bullish. Many of the indicators can be
either color, but the color is significant. The color tells
you whether the bears or bulls have control.
As bodies
of candlesticks shorten and shadows get longer, you're probably
going to see a reversal. The Marubozus may turn into spinning
tops, which means the market is becoming more indecisive on
the equity. The body of the spinning top may narrow even more
to form a doji. The dojis are a little harder to read, as
they don't have the visual body substance to get a good take
at a glance. Perhaps this is a good thing?dojis are worth
studying for proper analysis.
Dojis
are usually formed when the market opens and closes at the
same level, but shadows will give an indication of the volume
or activity. A doji with no shadow on either end is a 4-price
doji, and happens when a stock is thinly traded. When
the doji has a long lower shadow, this means the stock went
south for the day, but found support before the close. A long
upper shadow is the exact reverse - the stock went north and
got hammered before market closing. The latter is called a
gravestone doji, and it usually spells doom and southward
movement for equity the next day.
If you
find some candlestick charts, take a look at the long-range
version before you get wrapped in the hourly or five-minute
intra-day markings. The overall candlestick chart for a three-month
period is a good place to start. Find one that contains periods
before, during, and after a quarterly earnings report. You'll
begin to see the patterns as the equity rises and falls during
this volatile timeframe.
Two candlestick
patterns are significant to traders. These are engulfings
and gaps. Engulfing happens when one body overlaps
or engulfs the previous or succeeding body in the chart. This
means a wider range of trading is taking place, and it shows
control by either bears or bulls, dependent on the color of
the body.
Harami
is a term for some engulfing positions. Harami in Japanese
means "pregnant." We can only imagine this movement is ripe
with possibilities, right? This happens when one candlestick
completely engulfs the next candlestick, appearing to hold
it in its larger body.
Gaps are
a little harder to define, as it seems some technical analysts
have their own methods of interpreting them. Mainly, gaps
happen when a body and/or shadow is placed away from the previous
or succeeding candlestick. This can happen at the top or bottom
of a trend, and it can indicate loss of control by either
bulls or bears. Gaps can also signal exhaustion, which means
the security is no longer of any interest to traders or investors.
Candlesticks
gapping away from preceding candlesticks are often called
stars. The name of a doji that gaps away from the preceding
candlestick at the end of an exhaustion gap is called an abandoned
baby. Cora feels sad for this little doji.
You can
also take two or three candlesticks from the closing and opening
of two consecutive days and combine them to create a new formation
for more clarity. One of the easiest combos would be to combine
three black crows. When you place them next to each other,
you end up with one long black candle, maybe a black Morubozu.
This candle would indicate, obviously, that the equity is
continuing its downward direction. However, it's always best
to place the candlesticks in context, as this will give you
more meat to support your analysis.
After
you play with three-month charts, have fun with intra-day
charts. This is where you can go nuts as you watch action
in timeframes from an hour to five minutes. You'll find a
wider variety of symbolic indicators to interpret while you're
not analyzing new hiding places for last week's Halloween
candy booty.
As more
and more analysts fall in love with candlesticks, we may see
a real mix of east and west. The powerful visuals of candlesticks
combined with heads and shoulders and double and triple tops
and bottoms may be too hard to resist for some traders. As
investors, we can just sit back and watch the gyrations.
Next week
we'll talk about a different type of candle behavior as we
study pre- and post-holiday effects on the market. Yes, Santa,
there's strategy involved in traditional observances.
Until
Next Week,
Linda Goin
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