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Last week
I left you with an image of Cora trying to flatten herself.
This week, I want to create an image of flattened taxes. Part
of this tax-flattening process favorably regards our investment
income.
About
seven years ago, Texas Republican Dick Armey proposed a bill
for a flat tax, and this bill is the one we'll concern ourselves
with today. This is the same flat tax reform supported by
former presidential candidate Steve Forbes. Frankly, if a
simplified tax system saved 300,000 trees a year (which is
about the number Uncle Sam cuts per year for his paperwork),
I would be willing to see how this flat tax works, and how
it would affect us personally and as a nation.
Armey's
flat tax bill suggests that a tax doesn't begin until a personal
allowance is exceeded. The personal allowance is $21,400 for
a joint return, $14,000 for head of household, and $10,700
for individuals. There's also an additional standard deduction
of $5,000 for each dependent.
Once these
standard deductions are taken, the person filing the tax sends
about 17% of the remainder to Uncle Sam. The whole tax form
is about the size of an index card, and takes about two minutes
to fill out. There are no lines for other deductions or income,
including that of investment or unearned income, which includes
interest, dividends, stocks, capital gains, etc.
Let's
take the lady we've talked about in the last couple articles.
Before she landed her promotion, she was making $35,000 per
year, was head of household, single, with two children. Before
she got her raise, she paid $1,444 in taxes after calculating
her deductions and credits.
With the
flat tax system, this woman would pay $1,419.15 in taxes.
Not much difference, other than it would take her only five
minutes to fill out and mail the form in to the IRS.
When this
woman received a raise to $70,000 per year, her taxes jumped
to $7,722. With the flat tax system, her payment would be
$7,369.50. There's a larger savings than there was with her
lower wages, but she's still paying in the same range as before.
Plus, she's spending more hours away from the troublesome
IRS paperwork.
The advocates
of this program feel flat taxes simplify the tax process,
would save Americans about 5.4 billion hours in tax preparation
(and we know what billions mean), and give people more confidence
in their economy?in other words, we would spend more.
The downside
is the usual huff about revamping the system (it's a huge
system to revamp), and the possible increase in population,
because flat tax favors large families. If our woman decided
to marry a man that didn't work and have another child, she
would see a tax cut of about $1300 per year. If she stayed
single and had another child, she would save $2,300 per year.
I'm not sure that's enough reason to go out and create more
children. I know children who eat more than $2,300 in food
per year.
The point
that caught my interest was the lack of taxation on investment
gains. This, according to advocates for the flat tax, means
that Americans would be more willing to support business through
their investments. No Social Security tax would be paid, either.
Frankly, I'm all for that. For some reason, I feel my SS payments
are like throwing money to the wind. I've often wondered why
I can't just take that money and invest it in my IRA.
The "Death
Tax" would be obliterated. Income is taxed one time only,
and that's the tax you pay on the money you earn while working.
So what about the gal next door who rakes in $70,000 per year
in inherited investment income while you slave away making
the same amount of money that's being taxed by the government?
Right
now this woman is paying 10% on her income while you're paying
taxes in the 27% tax bracket. With the flat tax rate, your
taxes will drop into the 17% tax bracket, and she won't have
to pay a dime. However, the businesses that pay her investment
income have already been charged the 17% tax, so she's actually
paid her dues by accepting the investment income. She just
won't have to fill out that postcard and mail it in to the
IRS like you will. Life is like that sometimes.
The opposing
forces to this bill seem to come from people who make a substantial
income from tax preparation and charitable organizations.
I'll ignore the former. The latter I worry about. Although
advocates to the flat tax system say that people donate more
when they have more money, I tend to believe it's because
it puts them in a lower tax bracket. That's how it works with
the current system. I would be concerned about keeping our
charities alive, but I'm also concerned about keeping those
300,000 trees per year alive, too.
Since
January 1, 2001, Russians have been paying a flat tax of 13%
per year. Advocates and dissenters of the flat tax system
in the U.S. and Canada have studied the results of this flat
tax closely. These are some of the results:
- The
13% rate has exceeded expectations in terms of revenue,
as the real ruble revenue increased 28%.
- Three
years ago, in 1999, tax revenue equaled 9 to 10% of Russian
gross domestic product. In November 2001, the Russian gross
domestic product grew to 16%.
- The
new system greatly reduced the underground economy, where
people were paid in goods rather than cash to avoid paying
taxes.
Hong Kong
has a 15% flat tax on personal income. The Channel Islands
of Jersey and Guernsey ask for a 20% flat tax. Other European
parties are considering flat taxes in their economic platforms.
Go to Bermuda. They have a flat tax, too.
Uncle
Sam seems to think we like time-consuming confusion and disorder.
Uncle Sam would probably like to keep his huge budget. Perhaps
Uncle Sam prefers to flatten forests rather than taxes.
Cora says
it all rather blithely, "I think Uncle Sam is just too old,
and he doesn't know what he's doing."
Until
Next Week,
Linda Goin
BUYandHOLD
does not offer or provide any tax or investment advice or
opinion regarding the nature, potential, value, suitability
or profitability of any particular tax consequence, security,
portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy.
The opinions expressed above are not necessarily those of
BUYandHOLD, its officers, directors or its affiliates.
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